Murray was last seen on the tour just over a month ago, losing in straight sets to Canadian Jiri Vesely in the second round of Indian Wells. Two days later he lost his double match with fellow Briton Dan Evans in straight sets against Rojer and Tecau. He then revealed that he was suffering from an elbow injury. He did, however, play an exhibition charity match in Zurich, Switzerland, which he lost 6-3 7-6 to the great Roger Federer, who seems to have reignited his career at the age of 35.
Over the last two years Murray has improved his ability on the clay courts, winning his maiden clay court title in Munich in 2015. Last year Murray lost in the semi-finals of Monte Carlo to the clay court champion Rafa Nadal, lost the final in Madrid and Paris to Djokovic, but beat the Serbian in the final of the Rome Masters to gain his second Masters clay court title.
Murray has been in Monte Carlo for a few days now preparing and acclimatising to the conditions here in Monaco. It has even been reported that he has been practising with former Everton footballers, Louise Saha and Sylvain Distin. If Murray is back to peak fitness and has fully recovered from his elbow injury then there is no reason as to why he cannot win Monte Carlo this year.
In terms of the other big players on the tour, Federer has opted out of competing at Monte Carlo, while Djokovic doesn’t seem to be the same player he has been in recent years. Therefore, Nadal is the most likely player to oppose Murray, and being in opposite halfs, a Murray-Nadal final is extremely likely. Murray’s price is 5.00 to win the title in Monte Carlo, this inflation in price is most likely due to the unknowns regarding his elbow injury. If Murray is fit and healthy, he has a great chance of winning the title.