Both of my tips were winners yersterday. Firstly, Cilic had to come from a break down in the second set and win the tie-break in order to take the total games above 22.5, and secondly, Goffin easily covered the +3.5 game handicap when he defeated Djokovic in 3 sets. Ramos-Vinolas and Pouille are already in action in the first semi-final of the day, and the second semi-final is due to take place around 14:30 UK time between Nadal and Goffin.
Nadal managed to come back from a break down in both sets yesterday, as he defeated Diego Schwartzman 6-4 6-4, while Goffin managed to come back from 0-2 *15-40 to defeat Djokovic 7-5 in the third set.
Their head-to-head reads in favour of Nadal, winning their only previous meeting. However, this was an exhibition match in Abu Dhabi last year.
Goffin is playing with confidence at the minute, while Nadal still isn’t his old self. I’d expect a tight affair between these two with some long rallies. My recommended bet for this match is to back over 20.5 total games at odds of 1.80, and as a more speculative bet, I’d recommend backing Nadal to win this match 2-1 at odds of 4.00.
Over 20.5 games in Nadal v Goffin @ 1.80
Nadal to beat Goffin 2-1 @ 4.00